Possible Severe Weather Monday!!!

Well it looks like since the Atlantic hurricane season was owned by El Nino and non existent for the most part it looks like the first ice breaker for the Fall severe weather season may begin on Monday. The models I use to forecast are in fair agreement with a severe episode on Monday. A nice mid level trough will dig it's way into the central and southern plains early Monday then evolve into a closed low. This is also going bring with it a fairly strong and quickly moving cold front. This front will be the focal point of storm development. A very moist and unstable airmass ( Models are presenting and have been confident with CAPE values in the 3,000 J/kg range, that is moderately to very unstable ) will be set in place ahead of this front and mid level trough. Storms should have no problem becoming surface based. Fortunately I don't see much of a tornado threat here. Maybe a brief spin up. Reason being is the strongest winds in the atmosphere will be behind the front. So there will be quite a bit of forcing behind the storms. So at this time more likely a severe wind event. Storms should begin discrete in a linear storm mode and quickly form into a MCS ( MesoScale Convective System). Flash flooding could also be a concern since soils in the area are already saturated from all the previous days of rainfall.

The areas most likely to see this event would be Southern OK , North TX Monday evening into night. And the rest DFW and North East TX and SE OK into AR in late night into early morning hours. So for right now appears to be a mostly a wind and possibly a isolated flash flooding event.

Coming Soon! The NEW MesoSearch.net

It has been awhile since I have posted on here. Just procrastination I guess. LOL.. Not Good! Well since the last I have posted on here I had a successful tornado intercept less then 5 minutes from my house on June 10th!! I was in Kansas the day before and busted. So strange to have had Supercells in North Texas in the middle of June.

Well we had a website up for a very short time last year it just never got underway. So this fall I am introducing a NEW Website for MesoSearch Storm Chasing. It will contain live streaming when we are in the field, gps tracking, video/photo gallery, and a blog.

So to entertain you and give you a sense of whats to come please enjoy this trailer promoting the new website.

MESOSEARCH,,, Chase Tomorrow!!!

The Crew will be out tomorrow. We will be streaming live at TornadoVideos.net  !

A very unstable atmosphere will be in place tomorrow over North West TX. Shear looks beautiful turning with height very nicely. CAPE on the order towards 5,000 j/kg. A classic triple point set up. We are targeting NW TX.. Storm should fire by 5pm, Discrete supercells with massive hail and a decent threat for tornadoes is likely..  Storm Prediction center has issued a slight risk with a likely upgrade to Moderate risk mentioned in their outlook.. Please tune into Tornadovideos.net to watch us DOMINATE!

Severe Weather in the forecast!!

Finally looks like things are trying to get going. GFS is now showing potential Easter Weekend for the Southern Plains. It still far out and a lot of changes will take place between now and then..  GFS has been pushing everything further west little each run.. The GFS is normally not always telling the truth ! Thursday in the southern plains doesn't look very impressive to me and seems to me that a cold front will overtake everything very quickly.. So as of right now Saturday looks like the day of choice.  I just hope the moisture will be able to recover in time for Saturday. 

I will continue to monitor the models and make a detailed forecast later this week.

MesoSearch on ABC Dallas...

As some of you guys know I am one of the chasers for WFAA Channel 8 in Dallas. Craig Curlee another known DFW chaser is now also on board. The both of us will DOMINATE. Last week I went in the station to do an interview with Chief Meteorologist Pete Delkus. The news station and myself agree that we have the best chaser team in North Texas. WFAA is already number 1 in severe weather in North Texas. Hope we have a productive season. . 

It was shown Yesterday at 6pm.. I was going to post but I have been so busy it is not even funny and didn't find out until about 3 hours before it went on.. Hope yall enjoy.

Here is the Link

MesoSearch on ABC

LIVE STEAMING UP AND RUNNING!

MesoSearch has Teamed up with TornadoVideos.net to bring you dominating live streaming and reports, and live GPS tracking.. 

The Set up for tomorrow is insane!!! High Shear, low cape set up, Amazing Low level shear will cause large right turn hodographs indicating storms will be able to produce strong tornadoes. MesoSearch will be out in the plains.

Please go to TornadoVideos.net to see our live chase stream!!

DOMINATING!!!

LET IT BEGIN. TORNADOES POSSIBLE NORTH CENTRAL TEXAS, TO SOUTH CENTRAL OK

The MesoSearch Team will be out tomorrow in pursuit of dominating severe weather in the Southern Plains, Our initial target is Stephenville Texas and will adjust from there. 

A potent system is moving in from the west, with massive moisture return that is not common for this time of year ahead of it. Shear and instability will be in place for strong / significantTornadoes.

See the risk area here  Http://www.spc.noaa.gov   

Sorry for not giving much more details so much to do still. Be Safe to for all who are chasing and live in the risk areas.

We will also be showing our chase live on the web at ChaserTv.com   See us out in the field live in the action.